Tag Archives: U.S. cases of COVID-19 will peak in a couple of weeks. Only social distancing will break the virus

Predictions about the course of COVID-19 over the coming weeks and months are flying around like bats out of hell. Their authors rely on fancy models that take years to master. In a letter to shareholders on Feb. 27, 2009 Warren Buffett wrote that “investors forget to examine the assumptions behind the symbols. Our advice: Beware of geeks bearing formulas.” …

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